Penrhôs 14-Day Forecast
Monmouthshire, Wales
Penrhôs Outlook (Next 14 Days)
Across Penrhôs today, some showers likely, with brighter breaks between will do much of the talking. Breezes are possible at times, taking the edge off brighter intervals and lifting the sense of changeability. The underlying temperature profile stays pleasant.
Across the period ahead, the outlook remains a changeable pattern overall, with alternating spells and pleasant temperatures overall. Confidence is naturally strongest in the nearer days; later on, treat it as a guide to the prevailing theme rather than exact timing. As the wider pattern evolves, the detail can adjust between updates, even when the overall direction stays the same. The charts show the clearest signal of how the pattern shifts, with the daily table adding the practical day-by-day context.
Daily Forecast
| Date | High | Low | Condition | Wind | Rain % | Humidity | Visibility | UV | Sunrise | Sunset |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Thu, 4 Jun | 16°C | 11°C | Patchy rain nearby | 35 km/h | 90% | 83% | 9 km | 5 | 04:56 AM | 09:23 PM |
| Fri, 5 Jun | 15°C | 7°C | Patchy rain nearby | 23 km/h | 73% | 72% | 10 km | 6 | 04:55 AM | 09:24 PM |
| Sat, 6 Jun | 14°C | 9°C | Moderate rain | 32 km/h | 93% | 90% | 8 km | 4 | 04:54 AM | 09:25 PM |
| Sun, 7 Jun | 15°C | 10°C | Moderate rain | 27 km/h | 95% | 88% | 8 km | 4 | 04:54 AM | 09:26 PM |
| Mon, 8 Jun | 15°C | 10°C | Moderate rain | 35 km/h | 92% | 84% | 9 km | 3 | 04:53 AM | 09:27 PM |
| Tue, 9 Jun | 16°C | 9°C | Patchy rain nearby | 25 km/h | 73% | 76% | 10 km | 3 | 04:53 AM | 09:27 PM |
| Wed, 10 Jun | 18°C | 10°C | Patchy rain nearby | 31 km/h | 15% | 81% | 10 km | 3 | 04:53 AM | 09:28 PM |
| Thu, 11 Jun | 20°C | 9°C | Partly Cloudy | 5 km/h | 5% | 74% | 10 km | 4 | 04:52 AM | 09:29 PM |
| Fri, 12 Jun | 23°C | 10°C | Sunny | 14 km/h | 3% | 77% | 10 km | 5 | 04:52 AM | 09:30 PM |
| Sat, 13 Jun | 26°C | 14°C | Patchy rain nearby | 17 km/h | 73% | 74% | 10 km | 4 | 04:52 AM | 09:30 PM |
| Sun, 14 Jun | 27°C | 15°C | Patchy rain nearby | 17 km/h | 73% | 83% | 10 km | 5 | 04:52 AM | 09:31 PM |
| Mon, 15 Jun | 26°C | 13°C | Sunny | 8 km/h | 6% | 76% | 10 km | 5 | 04:51 AM | 09:31 PM |
| Tue, 16 Jun | 26°C | 16°C | Sunny | 19 km/h | 3% | 77% | 10 km | 6 | 04:51 AM | 09:32 PM |
| Wed, 17 Jun | 20°C | 12°C | Cloudy | 20 km/h | 5% | 75% | 9 km | 4 | 04:51 AM | 09:32 PM |
Temperature Trend
Rain Probability
Wind Speed
UV Index
Forecast context and reference links
When forecasts change between updates, it is commonly driven by small shifts in storm track or blocking position. The links below give stable context that helps you read those changes.
- Wales Climate for regional patterns and seasonal tendencies.
- UK Climate Overview for a national baseline and how regions compare.
- Wales for location browsing and regional navigation.
How to interpret confidence
For how forecast reliability changes with lead time, see Forecast Confidence. For transparency on how WeatherEngland sources and updates data, see Methodology.
Background guides
- UK Weather Patterns
- UK Seasonal Weather
- UK Weather Hazards
- UK Weather Safety
- UK Jet Stream
- UK Microclimates
Glossary support
Start with the Weather Glossary. Useful terms for this page include Jet Stream, Air Mass, Zonal Flow, Atmospheric Blocking, Weather Front, and Pressure Trend.
FAQ
How is the weather likely to develop in Penrhôs over the next two weeks?
Across the next two weeks in Penrhôs, the bigger picture is shaped by a Patchy rain nearby theme on many days. Temperatures hold fairly steady overall. Typical range: highs up to 27°C, lows down to 7°C. Rain-risk signal: 95% at peak (8 higher-risk days). Wind: a windiest-day signal around 35 km/h. UV: peaks around 6 on brighter days. Detail is usually strongest in the first few days. Later values are best read as the likely pattern rather than exact timing.
How should I interpret confidence in the Penrhôs 14-day forecast?
Confidence is typically highest in the first 3–5 days. Beyond a week, use it mainly to judge the likely regime (more settled versus more changeable) rather than exact timing — small shifts in storm tracks can move rain bands and wind peaks.
Is there an hourly breakdown for Penrhôs today?
Yes — you’ll see hourly detail for today and a day-by-day view for the rest of the 14 days. For planning, combine the two: timing from hourly, direction from daily.
What is the temperature trend in Penrhôs over the next two weeks?
Over the next 14 days in Penrhôs, Temperatures hold fairly steady overall. Use the Temperature Trend chart to see the direction more clearly than any single day’s number.
What does the ‘headline condition’ mean in the Penrhôs forecast?
It summarises the most representative weather type for the day. Local effects and timing shifts still matter — especially around fronts — so treat it as a headline, not a minute-by-minute guarantee.