Llanellen 14-Day Forecast
Monmouthshire, Wales
Llanellen Outlook (Next 14 Days)
Much of the day around Llanellen is shaped by showers moving through with only brief lulls, with temperatures mild overall. Slightly cooler nights inland. The feel can shift subtly from one spot to another as cloud breaks and showers move through.
Early confidence is higher; further out, an unsettled pattern overall, with showers returning at times and mild temperatures overall. As the wider pattern evolves, the detail can adjust between updates, even when the overall direction stays the same. A quick scan of the charts gives the best sense of the regime, while the table helps with day-specific decisions.
Daily Forecast
| Date | High | Low | Condition | Wind | Rain % | Humidity | Visibility | UV | Sunrise | Sunset |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Thu, 4 Jun | 16°C | 10°C | Patchy rain nearby | 34 km/h | 84% | 83% | 9 km | 6 | 04:56 AM | 09:24 PM |
| Fri, 5 Jun | 15°C | 6°C | Patchy rain nearby | 23 km/h | 73% | 75% | 10 km | 7 | 04:56 AM | 09:25 PM |
| Sat, 6 Jun | 17°C | 9°C | Moderate rain | 33 km/h | 95% | 89% | 9 km | 2 | 04:55 AM | 09:25 PM |
| Sun, 7 Jun | 16°C | 7°C | Patchy rain nearby | 23 km/h | 80% | 87% | 10 km | 5 | 04:55 AM | 09:26 PM |
| Mon, 8 Jun | 14°C | 9°C | Moderate rain | 39 km/h | 95% | 89% | 9 km | 3 | 04:54 AM | 09:27 PM |
| Tue, 9 Jun | 14°C | 6°C | Patchy rain nearby | 28 km/h | 73% | 78% | 9 km | 3 | 04:54 AM | 09:28 PM |
| Wed, 10 Jun | 16°C | 9°C | Patchy rain nearby | 36 km/h | 88% | 91% | 9 km | 3 | 04:53 AM | 09:29 PM |
| Thu, 11 Jun | 16°C | 6°C | Patchy rain nearby | 20 km/h | 73% | 81% | 8 km | 3 | 04:53 AM | 09:30 PM |
| Fri, 12 Jun | 16°C | 8°C | Patchy rain nearby | 30 km/h | 73% | 82% | 10 km | 3 | 04:53 AM | 09:30 PM |
| Sat, 13 Jun | 16°C | 6°C | Patchy rain nearby | 25 km/h | 78% | 83% | 10 km | 3 | 04:52 AM | 09:31 PM |
| Sun, 14 Jun | 14°C | 9°C | Patchy rain nearby | 32 km/h | 81% | 88% | 8 km | 3 | 04:52 AM | 09:31 PM |
| Mon, 15 Jun | 17°C | 6°C | Sunny | 20 km/h | 4% | 78% | 10 km | 4 | 04:52 AM | 09:32 PM |
| Tue, 16 Jun | 12°C | 7°C | Patchy rain nearby | 22 km/h | 93% | 94% | 8 km | 3 | 04:52 AM | 09:32 PM |
| Wed, 17 Jun | 15°C | 12°C | Patchy rain nearby | 16 km/h | 95% | 97% | 5 km | 3 | 04:52 AM | 09:33 PM |
Temperature Trend
Rain Probability
Wind Speed
UV Index
Forecast context and reference links
When forecasts change between updates, it is commonly driven by small shifts in storm track or blocking position. The links below give stable context that helps you read those changes.
- Wales Climate for regional patterns and seasonal tendencies.
- UK Climate Overview for a national baseline and how regions compare.
- Wales for location browsing and regional navigation.
How to interpret confidence
For how forecast reliability changes with lead time, see Forecast Confidence. For transparency on how WeatherEngland sources and updates data, see Methodology.
Background guides
- UK Weather Patterns
- UK Seasonal Weather
- UK Weather Hazards
- UK Weather Safety
- UK Jet Stream
- UK Microclimates
Glossary support
Start with the Weather Glossary. Useful terms for this page include Jet Stream, Air Mass, Zonal Flow, Atmospheric Blocking, Weather Front, and Pressure Trend.
FAQ
How is the weather likely to develop in Llanellen over the next two weeks?
Across the next two weeks in Llanellen, the bigger picture is shaped by a Patchy rain nearby theme on many days. Temperatures hold fairly steady overall. Typical range: highs up to 17°C, lows down to 6°C. Rain-risk signal: 95% at peak (13 higher-risk days). Wind: a windiest-day signal around 39 km/h. UV: peaks around 7 on brighter days. Detail is usually strongest in the first few days. Later values are best read as the likely pattern rather than exact timing.
How should I interpret confidence in the Llanellen 14-day forecast?
Confidence is typically highest in the first 3–5 days. Beyond a week, use it mainly to judge the likely regime (more settled versus more changeable) rather than exact timing — small shifts in storm tracks can move rain bands and wind peaks.
Is there an hourly breakdown for Llanellen today?
Yes — you’ll see hourly detail for today and a day-by-day view for the rest of the 14 days. For planning, combine the two: timing from hourly, direction from daily.
What is the temperature trend in Llanellen over the next two weeks?
Over the next 14 days in Llanellen, Temperatures hold fairly steady overall. Use the Temperature Trend chart to see the direction more clearly than any single day’s number.
What does the ‘headline condition’ mean in the Llanellen forecast?
It summarises the most representative weather type for the day. Local effects and timing shifts still matter — especially around fronts — so treat it as a headline, not a minute-by-minute guarantee.