Wales

Gilwern Rain Forecast

Monmouthshire — Precipitation & Rainfall

Gilwern Rain Outlook

Gilwern sees a showery day with little in the way of dry spells today, making this a day to keep an eye on conditions.

Looking ahead over the next 14 days, the rain outlook for Gilwern suggests frequent showers and little opportunity for prolonged dry periods. Overnight rain is a possibility on several nights during the period, topping up totals.

Current & Today

Now

Precipitation1.05 mm
Humidity100%
Cloud Cover75%

Today

Total Rain1.91 mm
Rain Chance84%
Snow Chance0%
Snow Total0.0 cm

Today’s Hourly Rain Chance

14-Day Precipitation

Thu
4 Jun
84%
1.91 mm
0% snow
Fri
5 Jun
73%
1.20 mm
0% snow
Sat
6 Jun
95%
10.80 mm
0% snow
Sun
7 Jun
80%
0.93 mm
0% snow
Mon
8 Jun
95%
19.78 mm
0% snow
Tue
9 Jun
73%
0.35 mm
0% snow
Wed
10 Jun
88%
2.41 mm
0% snow
Thu
11 Jun
73%
0.11 mm
0% snow
Fri
12 Jun
73%
1.66 mm
0% snow
Sat
13 Jun
78%
2.82 mm
0% snow
Sun
14 Jun
81%
1.11 mm
0% snow
Mon
15 Jun
4%
0.00 mm
0% snow
Tue
16 Jun
93%
2.63 mm
0% snow
Wed
17 Jun
95%
2.36 mm
0% snow

Rain Charts

When forecasts change between updates, it is commonly driven by small shifts in storm track or blocking position. The links below give stable context that helps you read those changes.

How to interpret confidence

For how forecast reliability changes with lead time, see Forecast Confidence. For transparency on how WeatherEngland sources and updates data, see Methodology.

Background guides

Glossary support

Start with the Weather Glossary. Useful terms for this page include Cold Front, Warm Front, Occluded Front, Relative Humidity, Dew Point, and Orographic Uplift.

FAQ

Will it rain in Gilwern today?

Rain risk in Gilwern today is around 84%. Timing can vary locally, especially with showers and passing fronts.

What is the chance of rain in Gilwern over the next 14 days?

The 14-day rain outlook for Gilwern shows day-by-day rain chances and an overall wet/dry signal. Use the first few days for detail and the later period for broader risk.

What does ‘chance of rain’ mean for Gilwern?

It’s the likelihood of measurable precipitation at some point — it does not mean it will rain continuously or everywhere in the area.

When is rain timing most reliable in Gilwern?

Timing is usually most reliable in the next 24–72 hours. Beyond that, use the outlook to understand overall risk rather than exact hours.

Does the rain forecast for Gilwern include showers and drizzle?

Yes — the precipitation outlook covers all measurable precipitation types. Light drizzle can be harder to pin down precisely than organised rain bands.