England

Aberfan Rain Forecast

Merthyr Tydfil — Precipitation & Rainfall

Aberfan Rain Outlook

In Aberfan today, the precipitation pattern is one of persistent showers moving through with limited respite.

Across the next fortnight, the wet-weather story for Aberfan involves frequent showers and little opportunity for prolonged dry periods. The uncertainty in detail increases beyond the first five days of the outlook period.

Current & Today

Now

Precipitation0.08 mm
Humidity94%
Cloud Cover100%

Today

Total Rain5.81 mm
Rain Chance95%
Snow Chance0%
Snow Total0.0 cm

Today’s Hourly Rain Chance

14-Day Precipitation

Thu
4 Jun
95%
5.81 mm
0% snow
Fri
5 Jun
74%
1.84 mm
0% snow
Sat
6 Jun
97%
13.69 mm
0% snow
Sun
7 Jun
92%
2.53 mm
0% snow
Mon
8 Jun
96%
20.47 mm
0% snow
Tue
9 Jun
73%
0.35 mm
0% snow
Wed
10 Jun
94%
4.03 mm
0% snow
Thu
11 Jun
73%
0.27 mm
0% snow
Fri
12 Jun
80%
1.35 mm
0% snow
Sat
13 Jun
73%
0.81 mm
0% snow
Sun
14 Jun
74%
0.63 mm
0% snow
Mon
15 Jun
6%
0.01 mm
0% snow
Tue
16 Jun
96%
3.68 mm
0% snow
Wed
17 Jun
96%
2.18 mm
0% snow

Rain Charts

When forecasts change between updates, it is commonly driven by small shifts in storm track or blocking position. The links below give stable context that helps you read those changes.

How to interpret confidence

For how forecast reliability changes with lead time, see Forecast Confidence. For transparency on how WeatherEngland sources and updates data, see Methodology.

Background guides

Glossary support

Start with the Weather Glossary. Useful terms for this page include Weather Front, Cold Front, Warm Front, Occluded Front, Relative Humidity, and Dew Point.

FAQ

Will it rain in Aberfan today?

Rain risk in Aberfan today is around 95%. Timing can vary locally, especially with showers and passing fronts.

What is the chance of rain in Aberfan over the next 14 days?

The 14-day rain outlook for Aberfan shows day-by-day rain chances and an overall wet/dry signal. Use the first few days for detail and the later period for broader risk.

What does ‘chance of rain’ mean for Aberfan?

It’s the likelihood of measurable precipitation at some point — it does not mean it will rain continuously or everywhere in the area.

When is rain timing most reliable in Aberfan?

Timing is usually most reliable in the next 24–72 hours. Beyond that, use the outlook to understand overall risk rather than exact hours.

Does the rain forecast for Aberfan include showers and drizzle?

Yes — the precipitation outlook covers all measurable precipitation types. Light drizzle can be harder to pin down precisely than organised rain bands.